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What You Need To Know About The 2013 Spring Home Buying Season

Originally Posted on Forbes | Morgan BrennanMorgan BrennanForbes Staff

Springtime is for selling houses. The months of April, May, June and July typically account for more than 40% of all housing transactions annually, in large part thanks to weather.

But unlike the painful post-bubble home buying seasons of the past several years, this year has kicked off amidst a cornucopia of experts trumpeting the U.S. housing market’s recovery. Inventory is at record lows, home prices are on the upswing and foreclosure activity has ebbed in many parts of the country. In 2012 residential real estate contributed its first positive year of gains to the overall economy since 2005, and the Federal Reserve has repeatedly called housing a “bright spot” of the economy.

The rosy recovery statistics have an increasing number of Americans feeling more confident about the prospect of buying a home.  A March survey from Fannie Mae revealed that 48% of consumers believe home prices will rise over the next year — an all-time survey high.  And another recent survey, from Prudential Real Estate, found that confidence is at a high of 69% among folks thinking about buying a home.

While promising news for aspiring sellers, it means that many of this year’s spring and summertime buyers will face a markedly different landscape than their predecessors did just a year or two ago. “In many markets around the country we have fundamentally shifted from a buyers’ market to a sellers’ market,” says Budge Huskey, chief executive of Coldwell Banker Residential Real Estate.

 

Here’s what you need to know about the market before you hunt for homes.

Inventory Shortages

“The story of the day is on the inventory front,” stresses Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors.  It’s a sentiment echoed by many.

The number of available homes has plunged to record lows, thanks to both an abnormally small supply of existing homes for sale and a dearth of new construction. Despite the fact that new residential construction is on the rise, the current annualized rate of 618,000 housing starts is still well below the 1.5 million annual starts indicative of a healthy market, according to experts. And with more than 10 million homeowners still underwater on their mortgages, many prospective sellers are holding off on listing until home prices strengthen further.

Coupled with the brisk pace of sales, there is currently 4.7-month supply of existing homes on the market (a six-month supply is considered healthy), according to the National Association of Realtors.  That’s nearly 20% less nationally that during this time last year, and in the most sought-after markets levels are down by as much as 50%, 60%.

Traditionally this time of year welcomes a jump in inventory levels as sellers time their listings with the buying season. But even an uptick in stock won’t be enough to fend off the looming shortages in some markets: “I don’t see any relief to the housing shortage. It can only come from new home construction, which will take time to come online,” says Yun.  He and other economists suspect inventory levels will remain tight throughout the rest of this year, especially since construction lending for many small- to medium-sized homebuilders remains constrained.

Increased Competition

In addition to a dwindling supply of available homes, the number of buyers has surged. And not traditional buyers. Investors have comprised a sizeable chunk of the buyer pool since the downturn and continue to do so. NAR estimates that real estate investors are responsible for about 20% of existing home sales each month.  In hard hit markets, particularly in Sun Belt states like Arizona, Nevada, California and Florida, domestic and foreign investors have been even more prevalent.

More interestingly, investors haven’t just consisted of mom-and-pop landlords and professional house flippers either. Wall Street institutions – private equity firms and hedge funds, predominantly – have allocated billions to large-scale single-family homes, snatching up distressed properties and transforming them into rentals, typically through bulk sales. Major Wall Street firms, including Blackstone and Colony Capital, have accounted for as much as 30% of sales activity in Miami, Fla., 19% of sales in Las Vegas, Nev., and 16% of sales in Phoenix, Ariz. in 2012, according to data provider CoreLogic, helping push home prices up dramatically in all three metro areas.

Investors aside, traditional consumers have been haggling over the most desirable properties — on good streets, near good schools, in move-in condition – as well. Realtors in many markets have been reporting bidding wars since late last year. “Prices are being bid up above asking price, particularly in the mid-range of the market,” says Huskey.  “In the Seattle market, for example, our agents say quality properties have been receiving six to 10 offers within the first week.”

He also notes that in areas where bidding wars have been especially prevalent, buyer tactics reminiscent of the housing bubble, for example, proffering photos of children and personal letters demonstrating why a bidder should be chosen, have begun to creep back into the marketplace.

What does this competition mean? That you the prospective buyer need to be prepared to move fast if you find a property you’d like to buy. “Buyers need to be patient because many will be outbid by others and might have to bid on multiple homes,” cautions Jed Kolko, chief economist of Trulia. “It also means thinking hard about the trade off: what you need to have in your home and what you’re willing to bend on because with tight inventory and lots of competition, it will be a temptation to take what you can get.”

Cash Is Still King

Given the steep competition, all-cash buyers who can close a deal relatively quickly offer great incentive to sellers. “Cash will still be king if there are multiple bids because from a seller’s view, they want a deal with fewer hiccups,” says Yun. About 30% of home sales are all-cash each month, according to NAR.

Over the past few years, mortgage lending has been incredibly tight – an irony given the fact that rates continue to hover near record lows. And due to the overwhelming number of foreclosures acting as comps, appraisals coming in under the agreed-upon price have steadfastly hampered many a financed deal.

The good news: LendingTree chief executive Doug Lebda says, in light of the recently unveiled new home-lending standards, lenders are slowly starting to make it slightly easier to get approved. “Lenders are reducing credit standards, allowing higher loan-to-value ratios than in the past,” says Lebda. “Nothing below the FHA and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac guidelines, but they are underwriting closer to them.” And as home prices rise – Case-Shiller reported an 8% yearly increase in February – appraisals may begin to fall more in line with pending sales prices.

In the meantime, cold hard cash continues to hold sway in many markets, say realtors. To better compete against the speedy certainty that a stack of green promises, buyers taking out a mortgage should always get preapproval before they embark on their hunt and plan on plunking down a sizeable downpayment.

Less Distressed Deals

The good news for housing as a whole is that nationally foreclosure activity is falling. RealtyTrac reports 30 consecutive months of declines on a national level, driven largely by double-digit declines in many of the traditional foreclosure hotspots like California, Arizona, Georgia and Michigan.
Decrease in activity coupled with fierce competition from investors targeting distressed inventory means the possibility of picking up a decent fixer-upper at a discounted price from the bank has greatly narrowed. And when such a property does come to market, the discounts are much smaller than they once were. In February short sales and foreclosures comprised 25% of home sales,  down from 34% a year ago, according to NAR. And the discounts have diminished too: short sales fetched 15% discounts on average, foreclosures 18%.
“Foreclosure inventory has been somewhat picked over,” says Daren Blomquist, vice president of RealtyTrac. The largest distressed inventory increases have been among homes built prior to 1960 and/or valued below $50,000. “Finding one in a condition the buyer can work with in a decent location has become a challenge to find.”

Nonetheless real estate is local and, despite the drop in foreclosure activity nationwide, several states are actually experiencing significant increases in foreclosure starts, as lenders continue to process a backlog of defaults. This is especially true of judicial foreclosure states. “In some of the markets like Florida, New York, New Jersey, and Ohio, we have seen increases in foreclosure activity counter to the national trend,” notes Blomquist. “Many aren’t listed for sale yet so this season some of them will be will be. So from a buyer perspective there may be some more inventory in the pipeline.”

Check with the Rules of a homeowners association before buying.

There are several factors consumers take into account when buying a home, including property features, proximity to their work and the surrounding community. The neighborhood they are moving into can play a large role on a new homeowner’s experience, so it’s important to research the particulars of each community thoroughly.

One of the first questions potential buyers should ask is whether the community is governed by a homeowners association. These associations are typically run by real estate developers in suburban areas who want to give neighborhoods a certain appearance to make homes easier to sell.


Determine the rules homeowners associations impose.

Homeowners associations can provide a number of benefits for buyers, such as keeping a property management company on retainer to keep the community immaculate. In addition, rules can help owners avoid property disputes with neighbors. However, membership is typically a condition of purchase and buyers in these types of communities are usually not given the option to decline joining. In addition, homeowners associations can place certain restrictions on owners, regarding the appearance of their homes to the pets they may own and whether they can rent out their properties, according to MSN Real Estate.
 
For example, standard homeowners association rules allow them to govern the color of the house, the size of an owner’s pets and how they can decorate their homes for the holidays, the news source reports. Each association is built differently, so the rules may vary.

Homeowners association disputes.

Because new owners may be required to become members of a homeowners association if they purchase certain homes, it’s important to fully understand the rules of the association and determine beforehand if they are reasonable. This is largely because homeowners have few other avenues for disputing restrictions once they have purchased the home. Violating the terms of a contract can result in fines and lawsuits for homeowners.
 
Homeowners associations can be beneficial for buyers who want structure and will enjoy the protections afforded by the association. In addition, most associations are flexible with owners and simply want to keep a neighborhood uniform and marketable, so that values will stay intact – which can benefit both the association and homeowners. However, associations are not for everyone, so buyers should make sure all the terms of a contract are reasonable before signing.

Identify your Wish List vs. your Must Have List.

FIVE TIPS TO CREATE A HOME WISH LIST THAT WORKS

COLDWELL BANKER REAL ESTATE EXPLAINS HOW TO IDENTIFY THE “MUST-HAVES” VS. “NICE-TO-HAVES” FOR A FIRST HOME.

When dreaming of a first home the options are endless. From a backyard oasis with a patio and swimming pool, to a gourmet kitchen with the most up-to-date appliances, plenty of space to entertain friends or a gorgeous master bedroom suite, no first time home buyers wish list is the same. However, in reality, it is not always possible to find a first home with everything, so buyers must decide in advance what items are “must-haves” and “nice-to-haves” on a first home wish list.

To help first-time home buyers, the professionals at Coldwell Banker Real Estate have provided the following five tips to help determine what they will need vs. what is nice to have in a first home.

Know your budget: 

The first step to creating a list of “must-haves” is to be realistic about what is affordable and determine a budget. Buyers should enlist a local real estate agent to help with the home search. An agent with years of expertise understands the local market and can help buyers find comparable home prices and determine what is affordable in their budget.

Find that perfect “location, location, location”: 

Everyone has heard this phrase before when it comes to real estate, and while the surrounding neighborhood and home itself may improve over time, the physical location will remain the same. Buyers should determine in advance how close they would like to live to their work, schools or extended family. A short commute to work, proximity to family or having easy access to highways and mass transit are often “must-haves.” The location will also determine some home amenities that are possible or difficult to have within the buyer’s budget. For example, if a buyer has to live close to work in a big city, they may have to cross a garage or outdoor space from their wish list.

 

Determine non-negotiable accommodations: 

A comfortable place for everyone in the family is always a “must have.” For a family of four, three bedrooms may be non-negotiable.  For a family with grandparents living at home, an extra bedroom on the first floor may also be non-negotiable.  After determining the budget and neighborhood, the most important factor is that everyone living in the home has a comfortable place to stay. 

 

Pick a lifestyle fit: 

After fulfilling the most important needs, buyers should find out what features of a home will best fit their lifestyle.  For example, buyers who love to cook and entertain may want a home with a gourmet kitchen and decide to give up the large master bedroom.  Or, buyers who love to spend time outdoors may compromise a large family room for a big backyard.

 

Have a vision:  

When looking at a first home, buyers should avoid getting distracted by decorations, paint or flooring that may not fit their taste.  Items such as paint color or carpeting are easy to fix and always worth compromising on.  If everything else about a home fits the wish list, a new coat of paint and a little redecorating are easy finishing touches on a dream home.

To Buy or Rent a Home?

COLDWELL BANKER Offers FOUR QUESTIONS to consider when deciding whether to buy or rent your next home.

“To buy or to rent?” Recent graduates, young couples, relocating professionals and others have all asked themselves this question at one point or another. While each option has its benefits, the decision to purchase an apartment, condominium or house as opposed to renting, is complex and based on a number of factors. According to a recent survey from the National Association of Realtors, nearly eight out of 10 respondents believe buying a home today is a good financial decision. The question that remains is whether or not now is the right time to buy a home for you.

For most people, deciding to buy a home is the largest financial decision of their lifetime. Before making the jump into homeownership, potential home buyers should consider the “soft” lifestyle issues as well as the “hard” financial ones. The professionals at Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC have provided the following four financial and lifestyle questions to consider when determining if buying a home is the right decision for you:

1. Do you have a steady income?,

At or near the top of every potential homebuyer’s mind is whether or not they can afford to buy a home right now. Buying a home remains a sound financial decision for those with documented income and a good credit history, and a steady income can provide a strong backbone for the initial down payment and future mortgage payments. Buy-versus-rent calculators available on websites such as coldwellbanker.com offer a good start, but there are numerous factors beyond straight economics that also need to be considered. Don’t hesitate to speak with a real estate professional even before you’re ready to buy a home. Along with a financial planner, a real estate professional can help you answer and uncover questions about the cost of homeownership.

2. Do you plan to stay in a home for an extended period of time?

With proper planning, a home purchase has historically proven to be one of the safest investments one can make. Along those lines, it’s imperative to understand that investing in a home is much different than investing in a stock portfolio. Homes typically appreciate in value over time while the owner builds his or her equity through monthly mortgage payments. If you anticipate staying in a home for only one or two years, it doesn’t necessarily mean buying is not for you, but you are less likely to see a significant financial return on your investment.

3. Do you plan to sell a house in order to buy a house?

A local real estate professional can help you understand current local market conditions and will help you make smart decisions when listing a home on the market. If you do not currently own a home that needs to be sold prior to purchasing a new one, now is a particularly smart time to buy. Even with lenders becoming increasingly more thorough in their approval process, mortgage financing is still widely available for those with a steady income and solid credit. High inventories and low interest rates give first-time homebuyers a tremendous amount of opportunity and flexibility in markets across the U.S.

4.How do your other options compare?

For renters, calculating month-to-month housing expenses is as easy as inquiring about the monthly rent and average utilities. The calculation gets a bit more complicated when considering the monthly cost of owning a home. A real estate professional can help you understand a range of financial considerations from annual property taxes to the tax incentives for owning a home.